There's something wrong with voter registration in Nassau

Reps Dems Total
11/05 358,848 324,406 917,849
4/05 365,835 327,727 929,457
11/04 362,038 318,554 914,553

This is the registration changes for the last year. There has been a huge loss of voters over the last year in Nassau. These numbers almost don't seem right. Check the other counties. Suffolk is not as drastic.

Can anyone explain this? Are you telling me 12,000 people are no longer registered to vote or was there some redundancy in a presidential election year?

Here's the link

http://www.elections.state.ny.us/portal/page?_pageid=153,42096,153_42160:153_42164&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL

Reps Dems Total
11/05 358,848 324,406 917,849
4/05 365,835 327,727 929,457
11/04 362,038 318,554 914,553

This is the registration changes for the last year. There has been a huge loss of voters over the last year in Nassau. These numbers almost don't seem right. Check the other counties. Suffolk is not as drastic.

Can anyone explain this? Are you telling me 12,000 people are no longer registered to vote or was there some redundancy in a presidential election year?

What the hell are you talking about? Your own numbers say it went from 914 thousand in 11/04 to 917 thousand in 11/05, once year later. That's an INCREASE of 3,300 people. Out of 900,000 that's an insignificant change of less than 4 tenths of one percent.

Your reduction of 12,000 was from the last 6 months which followed an increase of 15,000. You can't just look at one 6 month period.

I can't wait for someone to claim that the Dems are rigging the election now. Its only a matter of time.

Reps Dems Total
11/05 358,848 324,406 917,849
4/05 365,835 327,727 929,457
11/04 362,038 318,554 914,553

This is the registration changes for the last year. There has been a huge loss of voters over the last year in Nassau. These numbers almost don't seem right. Check the other counties. Suffolk is not as drastic.

Can anyone explain this? Are you telling me 12,000 people are no longer registered to vote or was there some redundancy in a presidential election year?

What the hell are you talking about? Your own numbers say it went from 914 thousand in 11/04 to 917 thousand in 11/05, once year later. That's an INCREASE of 3,300 people. Out of 900,000 that's an insignificant change of less than 4 tenths of one percent.

Your reduction of 12,000 was from the last 6 months which followed an increase of 15,000. You can't just look at one 6 month period.

I can't wait for someone to claim that the Dems are rigging the election now. Its only a matter of time.

I think you are missing my point and I am a dem. What's with that huge increase and where did all those voters go? Don't you find those numbers strange?

[My guess]

A possibility is that some of those who registered last year, while officially being able to vote last year may not have shown up in the totals till early this year and that those who moved and are now registered in another county might not have been removed till the summer. This also happened in NYC, and during the 2000 election season & I believe after 96 as well, most likley due to higher regristration drives in Presidential elections. A reason why some areas such as Suffolk didn't see the shift could be related to population reasons. Nassau's population actually decreased between 1970 & 1990, has grown a bit since then, but with little land left in the county huge population booms aren't going to happen here. Suffolk County however has far more space than Nassau County (in fact during the period Nassau lost residents between 1970 & 1990 Suffolk's population almost doubled. Suffolk's population isn't growing at the pace it was, but is still growing at a faster pace than Nassau's (mainly do to space reasons).

In other words those who move into the county or are newly registered are added to the voter rolls quicker than those who move out of the area, this is is less noticed in Suffolk because of the population increases which cancel out any regristration shift from those being removed from the rolls